5 Common Mistakes that this sub makes with Bonds
While this sub is generally very knowledgeable about investing, some ppl applying stock-market logic to bond math creates distinct misunderstandings. Here are the most common bond mistakes I see posted in this sub (I believe the majority don't make these mistakes but I keep seeing these posted):
1. **Treating Yield to Maturity (YTM) as a Guaranteed Return**: SEC yield and YTM provide a snapshot, not a fixed contract. Your actual realized return depends on two main factors: your holding period and the interest rates at which coupon payments are reinvested over time. While bonds are far less volatile than stocks, they are not risk-free, and their returns will fluctuate as market rates move.
2. **Equating Short-Term Price Drops with Losses**: When interest rates rise, bond prices fall. However, bond funds continuously reinvest principal and coupons at higher yields. Focusing purely on price return misses the bigger picture: total return. In fixed income, interest and dividend income drive long-term returns, easily offsetting temporary price dips if your horizon matches the fund's duration.
3. **Short-Term vs. Long-Term Bonds**: Short-term bonds have lower short-term volatility, but that doesn't make them safer for a long-term goal. If your retirement is 10+ years away, your investment horizon is 10+ years, not one month. Holding short-term bonds or cash for a distant goal exposes you to heavy reinvestment risk. Short-term vehicles (like MMFs) are ideal for EF, but intermediate and long-term bonds are far better suited for locking in yield over extended horizons.
4. **Dismissing Fixed Income Entirely ("Bonds Suck!")**: 100% equity recommendations based on multi-decade backtests ignore human psychology and real-world constraints. Investors have different goals, timelines, and risk tolerances; there is no one-size-fits-all portfolio. Young investors who choose to hold bonds to manage volatility shouldn't feel bad about it. Fixed income isn't meant to drive aggressive growth. It's there to preserve capital, provide liquidity, and stabilize your overall strategy.
5. **Fixating on Past Performance Instead of Risk-Adjusted Returns**: Judging bonds based on last decade misses the point of why we hold them. Stocks outperforming bonds in the past is expected, and bonds experiencing occasional negative years is normal. If you're going to use past performance to debate bonds, look beyond absolute returns: focus on risk-adjusted metrics like the Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdown, and portfolio volatility to see how bonds actually function in a balanced allocation.
That's my 5. What do you think is another mistake this sub makes with bonds?