We need one of three unlikely things to happen to win the East

But we just need one! According to the Massey ratings, we have a 19% shot at winning in Baton Rouge. Tennessee has an 8% chance of losing to Missouri, and a 22% chance at losing at Vanderbilt. (Vandy, have I mentioned lately how much I've always loved you?) This gives us around a 42% chance of winning the division. It's not ideal, but still better than it was after we lost in Knoxville.

FPI has it slightly different, with LSU at 21.5%, Missouri at 11.7%, and Vandy at 24.5% This means 47.7% of the time we win the East. So basically, we are underdogs, but still have a decent shot at it.