Will we have a 27B model with Fable capabilities in 5 months? History says yes

If history is any indication, open-source models in the 27B dense range should have caught up to what the US government banned two weeks ago because they thought they were too dangerous in less than half a year from now.

Qwen 3.6 27B outperformed models that were considered frontier models only 5 months prior to its release. According to AA it's on par with GPT-5.1 and Sonnet 4.5. Do you think it is still technically possible for the Fable / GPT 5.6 / Kimi K3 class of models? And do you think labs will continue to release open source models like Qwen 3.7 / 3.8 / 4.0? Or Gemma 5?

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