I built a forecast map for the 2026 US Senate, House and Governor races

Hello, I made a poll-based midterm forecast, which averages recent polls in each race (weighted by recency and size), computes a win probability, and simulates 10,000 elections for a prediction. You can click any state or district to see each side’s chances.

I took the same method and ran it on the previous elections (2016 to 2024), where you can compare the predictions to the actual results. The page also checks VoteHub for newly released polls and rebuilds every four hours.

[https://junekihong.com/elections/2026/](https://junekihong.com/elections/2026/)

Happy to hear what’s wrong or missing. Thanks!