Pro Football Reference's SRS (SoS Adjusted Point Diff) Rankings are Pretty Wild This Season

SRS, which stands for simple rating system, is a neat set of rankings to look at because of now transparent it is. It's simply a team's point differential per game plus their opponents' average point differential per game. Advanced stuff like DVOA and FPI are going to be more accurate, but a lot of people don't like how much of a black box they are, so SRS is pretty cool to look at too. The ratings this season are especially incongruent with W-L records. Even compared with other seasons, 2025 has got to be a massive outlier that warrants discussion. Here they are:

1- Los Angeles Rams 12.6 2- Seattle Seahawks 11.4 3- Houston Texans 8.7 4- Indianapolis Colts 8.0 5- Kansas City Chiefs 6.8 6- San Francisco 49ers 5.3 7- Buffalo Bills 5.2 8- Detroit Lions 5.1 9- Jacksonville Jaguars 5.0 10- Denver Broncos 4.0 11- Green Bay Packers 3.8 12- Philadelphia Eagles 3.2 13- New England Patriots 2.8 14- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.5 15- Dallas Cowboys -0.3 T16- Los Angeles Chargers -0.5 T16- Arizona Cardinals -0.5 18- Baltimore Ravens -1.3 19- Pittsburgh Steelers -1.8 20- Chicago Bears -2.5 21- Carolina Panthers -3.1 22- Atlanta Falcons -3.5 23- New York Giants -4.1 24- Washington Commanders -4.7 25- Minnesota Vikings -4.8 26- Miami Dolphins -4.9 T27- New York Jets -7.7 T27- New Orleans Saints -7.7 29- Cleveland Browns -8.3 30- Cincinnati Bengals -8.5 31- Tennessee Titans -8.8 32- Las Vegas Raiders -10.7

The 3rd and 5th ranked teams are 7-5 and 6-6, and there's a world in which they both miss the playoffs! (If KC beats HOU and LAC beats KC, many scenarios can have LAC/JAX/BUF as WCs while HOU/KC miss at 10-7.) The teams tied at the top of the AFC are 10th and 13th! The current holder of the tiebreak for the NFC #1 seed is 20th, *behind the 3-9 Cardinals!*