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r/space • … • u/Beaver_Sauce

2024YR4:10K sampled trajectories of the low chance it hits Earth

"[u/b612foundation](https://x.com/b612foundation) has taken the orbit and uncertainty of asteroid 2024YR4, sampled 10K trajectories from the current uncertainty, and propagated them forward. 2.3% of those hit the Earth on Dec.22, 2032. Here is where they hit." -Ed Lu

![img](iwh0aihb5she1)

[https://x.com/astroEdLu/status/1887939413054996494](https://x.com/astroEdLu/status/1887939413054996494)

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