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r/theydidthemath • … • u/PollutionAfter

[Request] What is the chance of guessing a Connections completely randomly?

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![img](km528qwp2occ1 "I did the Connections this morning and thought about trying to guess the answer completely randomly. Without taking into account the mistakes remaining my logic was as follows: You can choose whatever starting word you want then there is a 3/15 chance to choose the next word correctly. After that its 2/14 then 1/13 until you submit. After that you repeat the process. 3/11, 2/10, 1/9, submit, 3/7, 2/6, 1/5, submit, submit. Then multiplying the probabilities gives a 1/2,627,625 chance to guess correctly. My two questions are, is this logic correct and how would I take into account the mistakes remaining?")

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