The value of picks in the 20s
Seeing posts about trading for Murray and people discount the picks because they were late I decided to try to look into what picks in that range actually are.
For this I used a 5 year span from 2016-2020 so recent years without the last 2 drafts where we dont have enough on the players to formulate opinions, and the last 10 picks in each round 21-30
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**All stars/guys I expect to become all stars**: Pascal Siakam (2016), Dejounte Murray (2016), Jarrett Allen (2017), Jordan Poole (2019), Tyrese Maxey (2020).
**Elite Role Players:** OG Anunoby, Anfernee Simons (2018), Robert Williams (2018), Jaden McDaniels (2020), Desmond Bane (2020)
**Role Players:** Kyle Kuzma (2017), Derrick White (2017), Josh Hart (2017), Grayson Allen (2018), Brandon Clarke (2019), Grant Williams (2019), Keldon Johnson (2019), Kevin Porter jr (2019), Immanuel Quickley (2020), Payton Pritchard (2020)
**Still ? Players:** Nassir Little (2019), Zeke Nnaji, R.J. Hampton, Leandro Bolmaro
So overall out of 50 selections the odds of each category are around
All Star: 10%
Elite Role Player: 10%
Role Player: 20%
?: 8%
Non Rotation: 52%
Obviously these numbers can fluctuate based on how good your FO and development is but I wanted to put some context to the picks people are talking a lot about if its worth trading or not