Does Steph have a shot at winning the MVP this season?

I haven't watched much basketball outside of the Warriors this year, is there a clear favorite to win MVP? I know Jokic, Embiid, Shai, and Luka are all in the running, but are any of them far and away the best in the league this year?

I'm looking at Stephs numbers, and it seems like the biggest case against him is our seed. We have 27 games left, only 5 out of the 5 seed, and 10 out of the 1 seed. Now I'm not saying we can get to the 1 seed with so few games left, but with Draymond and GP2 back, the youngsters playing great, Klay coming off the bench, abs Wiggins getting back to form, this team looks completely different than they did the first half of the season. Also, if Steph continues shooting the 3 ball the same way he has through thr first 55 games (4.75), he'll only be 12 short of the record at the end of the season. 403 is definitely in his sights.

So say the Warriors do go on a run, make the 5 seed, or possibly even the 3/4 seed, and steph breaks his own record, what would you say his chances of getting another MVP would be?