After action report:
The final tally was:
* "almost" 40 initiates (assume 38) (= channelers) "lost", among them more than two dozen full sisters (assume 26) * Egwene's group counter-captured 10 damane * 10 damane were killed * Egwene downed 30 raken and explicitly did not spare departing ones after noticing that they were flying out captives * 50 Damane were sent * In the fighting 20 sisters and 3 novices died
Since the downed raken would be found and their passengers accounted for, the casualties would include Egwene's air kills.
**Seanchan**
Lost: 20 Damane, gained 38 channelers, net gain: 18 channelers, deployed 50, net gain 36%. As an Empire, the Seanchan would look only at the most prestigious category and forget about raken, airborne infantry and assassins.
**Tar Valon (Aes Sedai)**
38 (captured) + 20 killed + 3 killed (novices) + 5 (? estimate assassins) channelers lost (total 63), full sisters: 51. Rough estimate tower residents. I will go for 350 sisters present (roughly half the total of 1000, -50 (team Toveine), -25 (capture team Rand), thus 425 -75 (wild estimate "in the wild) = 350. Loss rate 1/7 or about 15%. In her reign Elaida lost 25% of her followers.
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**Leadership evaluation**
"Green" leadership of both tower factions was abysmal. They should have
* started practicing "shield" and "deflect shield" when they learned about the Seanchan, would not be wasted time against the Dark One's forces, because they have channelers too. * practiced "air defense" should have been on the menu as soon as the existence of raken became known. Also not wasted, because Draghkar exist (so should have been in the standard training). * Seanchan or not, there should have been a "mobilization" routine in case of an attack, that would have focused going to the basement and then moving out into the city, because that would have been the expected vector of attack, but this would have already helped, getting people away from the Seanchan and it is standard in any army. * Egwene gets a minus for knowing the Seachan would come and not spreading Nynaeve's adam opener flip. Also a Green. * The acting rebel leadership gets a minus for not rushing to their sisters' help. Would have politically advantageous to score points in the leadership struggle and is simply the right thing to do, when a common enemy shows up. Either they lacked initiative or even worse put Elaida's lot and the Seanchan on the same leven and stayed "neutral" * Saerin who took leadership was totally passive (just holding), had Egwene not intervened the Seanchan would have gained access to the novices unimpeded
From a sharp commander I would expect
* a spiked iron grill on the tower top with a standing detachment of the best snipers (OK, would not work, because Elaida had already prioritized her palace.) * infiltration drills maybe in cooperation with the Reds to smoke out infiltrators.
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I know that Egwene was supposed to shine, and tower rot is a thing. But others should have been allowed a piece of the glory.